Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000569 0.000656 0.000749 0.000856 0.000973 0.001099 0.001244
2025-06-08 0.000416 0.000532 0.000666 0.000829 0.001021 0.001239 0.001503
2025-06-15 0.000345 0.000473 0.000628 0.000826 0.001070 0.001356 0.001714
2025-06-22 0.000291 0.000426 0.000597 0.000824 0.001112 0.001462 0.001913
2025-06-29 0.000246 0.000383 0.000563 0.000812 0.001138 0.001544 0.002079
2025-07-06 0.000208 0.000344 0.000530 0.000795 0.001153 0.001610 0.002224
2025-07-13 0.000188 0.000327 0.000524 0.000813 0.001212 0.001731 0.002441
2025-07-20 0.000169 0.000309 0.000515 0.000824 0.001261 0.001840 0.002643
2025-07-27 0.000147 0.000285 0.000493 0.000815 0.001281 0.001909 0.002794
2025-08-03 0.000128 0.000260 0.000469 0.000801 0.001292 0.001964 0.002927
2025-08-10 0.000116 0.000248 0.000462 0.000811 0.001335 0.002064 0.003122
2025-08-17 0.000104 0.000233 0.000450 0.000811 0.001364 0.002145 0.003291
2025-08-24 0.000088 0.000210 0.000422 0.000786 0.001356 0.002173 0.003390
2025-08-31 0.000074 0.000189 0.000396 0.000762 0.001347 0.002201 0.003489
2025-09-07 0.000065 0.000176 0.000385 0.000760 0.001371 0.002275 0.003652
2025-09-14 0.000058 0.000165 0.000373 0.000757 0.001393 0.002347 0.003816
2025-09-21 0.000050 0.000153 0.000358 0.000746 0.001402 0.002398 0.003948
2025-09-28 0.000043 0.000139 0.000340 0.000730 0.001401 0.002434 0.004059
2025-10-05 0.000040 0.000136 0.000341 0.000747 0.001453 0.002552 0.004293
2025-10-12 0.000037 0.000131 0.000339 0.000758 0.001496 0.002656 0.004508
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000122 0.000327 0.000749 0.001507 0.002710 0.004649
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000112 0.000313 0.000736 0.001508 0.002749 0.004767
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000108 0.000311 0.000745 0.001547 0.002848 0.004978